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Monthly supply & demand balance sheets · July 2026
WASDE is USDA's monthly balance sheet for every major crop - how much was grown, how much is getting used, and what's left over at the end of the year. Carryout is the number the trade prices off, and the revision from last month usually matters more than the level itself.
USDA's July 2026 WASDE projects 2026/27 rice carryout at 0.03 billion bushels, down 11.9 million bushels from Jun and below the prior year. Production is pegged at 153.3 million cwt.
| Item | 2024/25 | 2025/26 Est. | 2026/27 Proj.Jun | 2026/27 Proj.Jul |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Area Planted(Million Acres) | 2.92 | 2.81 | 2.32 | 2.02 |
| Area Harvested(Million Acres) | 2.87 | 2.74 | 2.27 | 1.98 |
| Yield per Harvested Acre(Pounds) | 7,753 | 7,544 | 7,732 | 7,746 |
| Beginning Stocks(Million Cwt) | 39.8 | 53.9 | 54.8 | 51.8 |
| Production(Million Cwt) | 222.6 | 206.7 | 175.2 | 153.3 |
| Imports(Million Cwt) | 49.3 | 43.2 | 45.8 | 49.8 |
| Supply, Total(Million Cwt) | 311.7 | 303.8 | 275.8 | 254.9 |
| Domestic & Residual(Million Cwt) | 167.5▲0.2 | 169.0 | 154.0 | 146.0 |
| Exports, Total(Million Cwt) | 90.3▼0.2 | 83.0▲3 | 79.0 | 78.0 |
| Rough(Million Cwt) | 28.8▼0.1 | 21.0▲2 | 19.0 | 19.0 |
| Milled (rough equiv.)(Million Cwt) | 61.5▼0.2 | 62.0▲1 | 60.0 | 59.0 |
| Use, Total(Million Cwt) | 257.8 | 252.0▲3 | 233.0 | 224.0 |
| Ending Stocks(Million Cwt) | 53.9 | 51.8▼3 | 42.8 | 30.9 |
| Avg. Milling Yield (%)(Pounds) | 70.00 | 70.00 | 70.00 | 70.00 |
| Avg. Farm Price ($/cwt)($/cwt) | 15.10 | 12.50 | 13.50 | 14.90 |
| Stocks-to-use | 20.9% | 20.6% | 18.4% | 13.8% |
Source: USDA Office of the Chief Economist - WASDE. Updated monthly. ▲▼ marks the change vs the prior report.
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